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Egypt and Iran to resume direct flights 4, October 2010

Posted by thegulfblog.com in Egypt, Iran.
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Regular direct flights are to be resumed between Iran and Egypt for the first time in 30 years. As the LA Times eloquently notes, this is to some a surprising decision.

The two countries back opposing political camps in Iraq, Lebanon and the Palestinian territories, lack full diplomatic ties and continually snipe at each other. But Iran’s pro-government Fars news agency described the deal and a visit by an Iranian trade delegation to Cairo as “a prelude to the resumption of ties between the two countries.”

Iran clearly seeks any opportunity to eschew the notion that they are isolated by American pressure. They are, therefore, willing to overlook Egypt’s Israeli peace treaty and other significant policy differences in order to make such a strong symbolic statement with the Arab world’s most populace country.

This is not the first time that Iran’s rhetoric has been subjugated to the exigencies of necessity. During the Iran-Iraq war, Iran and Israel had a strategic alliance as they were untied by their fear and mistrust of Iraq. Despite government-led and fostered anti-Semitism, Iran traded spare parts for their armed forces for oil with the ‘evil Zionists’.

The Egyptian half of this is, as far as I see it, more convoluted. The LA Times notes that the agreement came shortly after Egyptian businessman Rami Lakah signed a $1.37 billion deal with Iran’s Kish Airlines. Yet even were this agreement to lead to a wider boost for trade and business, which it surely will, this seems like a small gain given that the price is normalizing relations with a country that celebrates the assassin of Egypt’s former leader, Anwar Sadat. Moreover, what will the Americans think of this deal? The Egyptian economy and state security more generally is significantly bankrolled by American support and Washington will not be pleased to see this softening line.

Iran sign regional non aggression pacts 7, March 2010

Posted by thegulfblog.com in Iran, The Gulf.
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The Iranian defence minister confirmed that Iran has signed bilateral mutual defence agreements with Qatar, Oman and Kuwait. These agreements apparently specify that neither territory will be used to attack or harm the other.

Recently, Iran has been making strident efforts – notably with Qatar – to visibly show and project and image of good, neighbourly relations. Perhaps Iran has finally realised that the more they threaten these states, the further and deeper they drive them into the arms of the US. Instead, the only way that they can even begin to seek to eject the US from the Gulf is by acting as a good, utterly non-threatening neighbour for their Arab allies. I doubt, however, that the leadership in Iran has the temperament for this long term plan. They seem to be unable to stop blustering on about their influence, weapons, plans, missiles and support. In short, US forces are not going anywhere anytime soon.